News India Times

www.newsindiatimes.com – that’s all you need to know Factbox-Trump Tariffs Threaten India’s Export Edge; Key Sectors Brace For Impact U .S. President Donald Trump onWednesday slapped 25% tariffs on Indian goods, along with an unspecified penalty tied to energy and defense purchases from Russia — a move that, if enforced, could erode India’s export competitiveness and weigh on investor sentiment. India’s trade surplus with the U.S. — its largest export market — stood at 1.2% of GDP in 2024. Analysts warn halving that surplus could shave 25–40 basis points off GDP, undermining India’s ‘safe haven’ narrative amid a global slowdown. The relative appeal of Indian markets has also faded, with local equities underperforming peers like Vietnam and Indonesia, which have secured trade pacts with Washington. CLSA said the tariff threat adds to uncertainty in an already expensive market. With negotiations set to resume in mid-August, mar- kets expect the final tariff rate to be lower than 25%. But until clarity emerges, export-linked sectors face signifi- cant near-term headwinds. See below for a sector snapshot on who is exposed: PHARMACEUTICALS The U.S. accounts for nearly one-third of India’s phar- ma exports (about $9 billion in FY24). Jefferies estimates a 2–8% EPS hit for Biocon, Sun Pharma and Dr. Reddy’s, if generics are included. HSBC warns of an up to 17% downside to FY26 earn- ings forecasts. TEXTILES Exporters likeWelspun Living, Gokaldas Exports, Indo Count and Trident derive 40–70% of sales from the U.S. Higher tariffs could shift market share to Vietnam, which benefits from lower U.S. duties. OIL REFINING A proposed penalty on Russian oil imports could hit Reliance Industries and state-run refiners Bharat Petro- leum and Hindustan Petroleum. Companies may face higher costs if forced to diversify crude sourcing. AUTO COMPONENTS Automakers have limited U.S. exposure, but parts makers including Bharat Forge and Sona BLW are vul- nerable.Tata Motors’ Jaguar Land Rover unit is shielded under U.S.-UK/EU trade arrangements. CAPITAL GOODS & CHEMICALS Cummins India, Thermax and KEI Industries have 5–15% U.S. exposure. Chemical exporters such as Navin Fluorine, PI Indus- tries and SRF may face margin pressure, especially on refrigerant gas exports. SOLAR EQUIPMENT Waaree Energies and Premier Energies count the U.S. as a key market. Nearly 20% ofWaaree’s FY24 revenue came from the U.S., which also accounts for a major chunk of its 59% overseas current order book. - Reuters US Puts 25 Percent Tariffs On India Even As Negotiations Ongoing A fter announcing a 25 per cent tariff and penalty for purchasing Russian oil, US President Don- ald Trump said on July 31, thatWashington is continuing trade negotiations with New Delhi. He emphasized that India is one of the countries imposing high tariffs on the United States. “We’re talking to them now. We’ll see what happens. Again, India was the highest or just about the highest tariff nation in the world, one of the highest, 100 points, 150 points or percentages. So India was one of the highest in the world. They had 175 per cent and higher than that,” Trump said to a question by ANI during a press confer- ence at theWhite House, held to mark the signing of a Congressional bill. Trump announced a 25 per cent tariff on India and an additional penalty for buying Russian oil on his social media handle, Truth Social. The US President, during the press conference, also talked about India being a member of BRICS. “We’re negotiating right now, and it’s also BRICS. They have BRICS, which is basically a group of countries that are anti-United States, and India is a member of that, if you can believe it. It’s an attack on the dollar, and we’re not going to let anybody attack the dollar. It’s partially due to BRICS, and partially to the trade. This trade situation is a deficit. We had a tremendous deficit,” Trump stated. He emphasized India-US ties, calling Prime Minister Narendra Modi a “friend,” while referring to the US trade deficit with India. He further noted that it “doesn’t matter too much” if the India-US deal reaches a certain tariff. India has said that it is examining the impact of Trump‘s tariff announcement and will take necessary steps to safeguard national interest. Meanwhile, United States Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has blamed India for “slow-rolling things” in the talks for a Free Trade Agreement and said “the whole trade team has been frustrated with them.” The comments, made in an interview with CNBC, came a day after the US President announced a 25 per cent tariff on India and an unspecified penalty for pur- chasing Russian oil. “I don’t know what’s gonna happen. It’ll be up to India. India came to the table early. They have been slow-rolling things. So the President, the whole trade team, has been frustrated with them,” Bessent told CNBC’s ‘Squawk Box’. He also talked about India’s energy ties with Russia. “India has been a large buyer of sanctioned Russian oil that they then resell as refined products. They have not been a great global actor,” he said. Piyush Goyal Commerce and Industry Minister told the Indian Parliament on July 31, that the government is examining the impact of the recent events and will take all necessary steps to safeguard the national interest. Goyal said the Ministry of Commerce and Industry is holding talks with exporters, industries and all stakehold- ers and gathering information on their assessment of this issue. “On April 2, 2025, the US President issued an executive order on reciprocal tariffs…ten per cent baseline duty in effect since April 2025. With a 10% baseline tariff, a total of 26% tariff was announced for India. Full country-spe- cific additional tariff was scheduled to come into effect on April 9 but on April 10 this was extended initially for 90 days and then extended till August 1 2025,” Goyal said “Government gives utmost priority to the safeguard- ing of the welfare of farmers, labourers, entrepreneurs, industrialists, exporters, MSMEs and stakeholders of the industrial sector. We will take all necessary steps to safe- guard our national interest. The Government is confident that we will continue our swift journey of inclusive and consistent development towards the goal of Viksit Bharat 2047. Aatmanirbharta ki ore Bharat aatmavishwas se badh raha hai,” he added. The Union Minister said that in less than a decade, India came out of the ‘Fragile Five’ economies and it has now become the fastest-growing economy in the world. “On the basis of the hard work of reforms, farmers, MSMEs and industrialists, we have come in the top five economies of the world from the 11th largest economy. It is expected that we will be the third-largest economy in a few years. Today, global institutions and economists see India as a bright spot in the global economy,” he said. Goyal said India and the US started talks for a just, bal- anced and mutually beneficial Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) in March this year, and the goal of this was to finish the first stage of the Agreement by October-November 2025. On April 2, 2025, President Trump signed an execu- tive order for reciprocal tariffs on various trade partners, imposing varied tariffs in the range of 10-50 per cent. He subsequently kept the tariffs in abeyance for 90 days, while imposing a 10 per cent baseline tariff. The deadline was to end on July 9, and the US administration later pushed it ahead to August 1. In March 2025, India and the US initiated talks for a BTA, with the countries stating that the first tranche would be signed by the fall of 2025. (October-November). Talks took place in New Delhi and the US, and there have also been virtual meetings. There were some reservations from the Indian side on the US demand for opening up the agricultural and dairy sectors for the US. Agriculture and dairy are critical for India as these two sectors provide livelihood opportuni- ties to a large section of its people. - ANI PHOTO:X @narendramodi A moment of bonhomie between PM Modi and President Trump prior to joint press conference Feb. 13, 2025. Special Report News India Times (August 2, 2025 - August 8, 2025) August 8, 2025 4 ByVivek Kumar M and Bharath Rajeswaran

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